WW3TOOLS EXPLAINS
What happened, why it matters,
and how it affects YOU
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FEBRUARY 28, 2026
US and Israeli forces launched coordinated strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities at Natanz and Fordow
Iran retaliated with ballistic missiles targeting US bases in UAE and Qatar
Iran's IRGC Navy deployed mines and anti-ship missiles to block the Strait of Hormuz
US FORCES DEPLOYED
45,000
BRENT CRUDE OIL
$96.40 +18%
US GAS PRICE AVG
$4.10/gal
STRAIT OF HORMUZ
BLOCKED Day 14
⛽ Gas Prices
Up $0.79/gal. Costs you ~$50 more/month
🛒 Groceries
Food prices up 8-15%. Bread, chicken, cooking oil hit hardest
📈 Your 401(k)
S&P 500 down 6.8%. Average 401(k) lost ~$8,200
✈ Travel
Middle East airspace closed. Europe flights +2-4hrs, +15-30% cost
BEST CASE (25%)
Air campaign only. Ceasefire within 2-4 weeks. Oil drops back to $80.
MOST LIKELY (35%)
Limited ground operations, 2-3 months. Oil stays $90-110. Gas $4-5/gal.
WORST CASE (25%)
Full regime change attempt, 6-12 months. Oil $120+. Recession risk 60%.
ESCALATION (15%)
Multi-year occupation. Regional conflict expands. Oil $150+. Draft possible.
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