How much is the Iran war hurting the US economy?

GDP growth is projected to be 0.3-0.8% lower than pre-war forecasts. The war is adding an estimated $127/month to average household costs through higher gas, food, and goods prices.

Will the Iran war cause a recession?

Goldman Sachs estimates recession probability at 35%, up from 15% pre-war. The outcome depends on conflict duration and whether oil stays above $100/bbl for more than 3 months.

Iran War Economic Impact: GDP, Jobs & Inflation Dashboard

Comprehensive economic impact dashboard for the 2026 Iran War. GDP growth reduced by 0.3-0.8 percentage points. Inflation projected to reach 5.6-6.8% by mid-2026. Labor market: 145,000 defense sector jobs created versus 89,000 service sector layoffs. Federal Reserve facing impossible policy dilemma between fighting inflation and supporting growth. Full sector-by-sector breakdown with historical comparison.