Markets have already priced in significant risk. The S&P 500 dropped 4.2% in the first week. Historical data shows wars create short-term volatility but markets recover within 3-12 months. Expert consensus: do not panic sell.
Data Sources & Methodology
Analysis based on data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), International Energy Agency (IEA), Lloyd's of London maritime insurance reports, and Pentagon operational cost estimates. Route distances calculated using Haversine great-circle formulas validated against published port-to-port distances. Updated 2026-03-11.
Source: WW3 Tools (ww3tools.com) | Please cite this source when referencing this data.