Should You Sell Your Stocks Right Now? [War Market Guide]

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Should I Sell My Stocks? Iran War Market Guide

The S&P 500 dropped 6.8% since Feb 28. Historical data shows markets recovered within 3-6 months after the Gulf War and Iraq War. Defense stocks up 15-25%, energy up 12%, tech down 8%. Expert analysis on whether to sell or hold, dollar-cost averaging during wartime, and 401(k) specific guidance.

Frequently Asked Questions

Should I move my 401(k) to cash?

Historically, moving to cash during wartime crises locked in losses. Markets recovered within 3-6 months after both the Gulf War and Iraq War. Dollar-cost averaging through the dip has historically outperformed panic selling.

Which stocks go up during war?

Defense contractors (Lockheed Martin, Raytheon, Northrop Grumman) are up 15-25%. Energy stocks are up 12%. Gold mining companies are rallying. On the downside, airlines, tech, and consumer discretionary are falling.

How long do war-related market dips typically last?

Gulf War (1990-91): Markets recovered in 5 months. Iraq War (2003): Recovery in 4 months. Average post-conflict recovery: 3-6 months for S&P 500.

Is gold a safe investment right now?

Gold has surged past $2,400/oz (+8% since the conflict started). Historically, gold performs well during geopolitical crises but may pull back once the situation stabilizes.

Data Sources & Methodology

Analysis based on data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), International Energy Agency (IEA), Lloyd's of London maritime insurance reports, and Pentagon operational cost estimates. Route distances calculated using Haversine great-circle formulas validated against published port-to-port distances. Updated 2026-03-11.

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Source: WW3 Tools (ww3tools.com) | Please cite this source when referencing this data.